We wake up to some kind of shocking news each day. Amidst the tragic coronavirus epidemic and Yes Bank crisis, oil prices have crashed. The crude oil prices had fallen by 30% on March 9th 2019, which is the largest fall in oil prices after the 1991 Gulf War.
Want to know more on Investment Planning? We at IndianMoney.com will make it easy for you. Just give us a missed call on 022 6181 6111 to explore our unique Free Advisory Service. IndianMoney.com is not a seller of any financial products. We only provide FREE financial advice/education to ensure that you are not misguided while buying any kind of financial products.
Russia and Saudi Arabia signed a deal in December 2016 to prevent the fall in crude oil prices amidst decreasing crude oil prices called OPEC+. The aim was to stabilize crude prices and ensure profits for all oil producing nations.
Saudi Arabia, the second largest producer of crude oil in the World has now declared a price war against Russia. State owned Saudi Aramco was asked to raise oil production to a record 13 Million Barrels a day.
Why did Saudi declare a price war against Russia? Russia believes that by 2021-2023 its oil output would reduce. There has been lack of investment in the oil development and exploration sector. Russian oil production is expected to fall from 11.4 million barrels per day to 6.3 million barrels per day by 2036. In all this Saudi Arabia proposed to impose an additional 1.5 million barrel per day cut on top of the existing ones. This didn’t go down well with Russia.
Saudi Arabia flooded the markets with cheap crude oil. Saudi Arabia ordered Aramco to maintain maximum sustainable oil output. Moscow is also planning to increase crude oil supply by 3,00,000 barrels per day. All this excess oil means cheap crude oil in the markets.
Russia is targeting the US shale industry as US has emerged as the Number 1 Oil Producing Nation. Russia wants to destroy the US shale industry and hopes the lower Crude Oil prices will do the job.
Will the US shale industry collapse? If crude oil prices go to $40 per barrel it will slow down the shale production. If prices go to $30 per barrel it will fall to levels of December 2019. For US Shale industry to collapse crude oil prices must fall to $20 a barrel. US President Donald Trump will definitely come to the aid of the US shale industry. The question is among Russia, Saudi and possibly the US, who will blink first.
The Italy coronavirus death toll has gone past 1,000. WHO (World Health Organization) has declared the outbreak a pandemic. The death toll in Iran is rising and has gone past 429. US have imposed a travel ban on Europe which has hit 26 European countries.
So how does all this affect the Indian Economy? The Indian tourist industry is in a crisis with the visa ban. India with 1.3 Billion people and just 76 cases has fared better than Asia. However, India’s overstretched health system would struggle if there is a rise in cases.
See Also: Investment Plans For Your Kids
The Indian economy could enjoy major benefits from the slump in International Crude Oil Prices. This is in the form of lower CAD (Current Account Deficit), reduced inflation and higher GDP.
Lower crude oil prices benefits automobiles, aviation, cement, consumer companies, paints and oil marketing companies.
You May Also Watch
There are definite pluses and minuses as crude oil prices crash. Coronavirus is a major spoiling factor in these times. Follow a policy of wait and watch.
Keep your Financial Cognizance up to date with IndianMoney App. Download NOW for simple tips & solutions for your financial wellbeing.
Have a complaint against any company? IndianMoney.com's complaint portal Iamcheated.com can help you resolve the issue. Just visit IamCheated.com and lodge your complaint. If you want to post a review on any company you can post it on Indianmoney.com review and complaint portal IamCheated.com.
Be Wise, Get Rich.
This is to inform that Suvision Holdings Pvt Ltd ("IndianMoney.com") do not charge any fees/security deposit/advances towards outsourcing any of its activities. All stake holders are cautioned against any such fraud.